CCSP. 2009. Best Practice Approaches for Characterizing, Communicating, and Incorporating Scientific Uncertainty in Decisionmaking. M.G. Morgan (lead author), H. Dowlatabadi, M. Henrion, D. Keith, R. Lempert, S. McBride, M. Small and T. Wilbanks (contributing authors). A Report by the Climate Change Science program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Washington, DC, 96 pp.
Xu, J., J.M. VanBriesen, M.J. Small, P.S. Fischbeck. 2009. Decision making under information constraints. World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2009, American Society of Civil Engineers.
Yeh, S. and M.J. Small. 2006. Statistical models for distributions of ambient fine particulate matter. In B. Morel and I. Linkov, eds., Environmental Security and Environmental Management: Role of Risk Assessment. Springer, Netherlands, pp. 127-150.
Small, M.J. 2004. The value of information for conflict resolution. in Linkov, I. and Ramadan, A. eds., Comparative Risk Assessment and Environmental Decision Making. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, pp. 171-194.
Bier, V.M., Y.Y. Haimes, J.H. Lambert, S. Ferson and M.J. Small. 2004. Quantifying risk of extreme/rare events: Lessons from a selection of approaches. In Risk Analysis and Society: An Interdisciplinary Characterization of the Field, eds. T. McDaniels and M. Small, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
Cullen, A. and M.J. Small. 2004. Uncertain risks: The role and limits of quantitative analysis. In Risk Analysis and Society: An Interdisciplinary Characterization of the Field, eds. T. McDaniels and M. Small, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
Stiber, N.A., M. Pantazidou, M.J. Small. 2002. Developing an expert-knowledge scoring system for evaluating reductive dechlorination at TCE sites. Proceedings of the 4th International Congress on Environmental Geotechnics, Volume 1. eds. L Guilherme de Mello, M. Almeida. Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Balkema Publishers, Lisse.
Diwekar U. and M.J. Small. 2002. Process analysis approach to industrial ecology, Chapter 11 in A Handbook of Industrial Ecology, R.U. Ayres and L.W. Ayres, eds., Edward Elgar Ltd, Cheltenham, UK, pp. 114-137.
Riley, D.M. , B. Fischhoff, M.J. Small and P.S. Fischbeck. 2001. Behaviorally realistic regulation. in Improving Regulation: Cases in Environment, Health, and Safety. P, Fischbeck and S. Farrow eds.), Resources for the Future (RFF) Press, Washington, DC. pp. 145-165.
Schultz, M.S. and M.J. Small. 2001. Integrating performance in design of a water pollution trading program, in Improving Regulation: Cases in Environment, Health, and Safety. P, Fischbeck and S. Farrow (eds.), Resources for the Future (RFF) Press, Washington, DC. pp. 380-404.
Stiber, N.A., M. Pantazidou, M.J. Small. 1998. An expert system to evaluate TCE sites for natural attenuation. In Natural Attenuation, Chlorinated and Recalcitrant Compounds, Proceedings of The First International Conference on Remediation of Chlorinated and Recalcitrant Compounds, Monterey, California, May 18-21, 1998, G.B. Wickramanayake and R.E. Hinchee, eds., Battelle Press, Columbus, Ohio, pp. 199-204.
Wolfson, L.J., J.B. Kadane and M.J. Small. 1997. A subjective Bayesian approach to environmental sampling. in Case Studies in Bayesian Statistics, Volume III, C. Gatsonis, J.S. Hodges, R.E. Kass, R. McCulloch, P. Rossi, N.D. Singpurwalla, eds., Springer-Verlag (Lecture Notes in Statistics, 121), New York, pp. 457-468.
Stern, P.C. and H.V. Fineberg, eds. (also National Research Council). 1996. Understanding Risk: Informing Decisions in a Democratic Society. Committee on Risk Characterization. National Academy Press, Washington, DC. (Principal author of section on The Analysis of Uncertainty in Ch 3, Analysis, co-author for other sections of Ch 3, and principal author for Appendix A Case Study on Approval of the Waste Technologies, Inc. Incinerator at East Liverpool, Ohio.)
National Research Council. 1996. Hazardous Materials in the Hydrologic Environment. Committee on U.S. Geological Survey Water Resources Research. National Academy Press, Washington, DC. (Principal co-author for Ch 5, Mathematical Models and Decision Support)
Wolfson, L.J., J.B. Kadane and M.J. Small. 1996. Expected utility as a policy-making tool: An environmental health example. in Bayesian Biostatistics, D.A. Berry and D.K. Stangl, eds., Marcel Dekker, Inc., New York, pp. 261-277.
Small, M.J. 1994. Invariably uncertain about variability? Try the normal-gamma conjugate! Proceedings of Air & Waste Management Association 87th Annual Meeting & Exhibition, June 19-24, Cincinnati, Ohio, Paper 94-TP55.05.
National Research Council. 1994. Ranking Hazardous-Waste Sites for Remedial Action. Committee on Remedial Action Priorities for Hazardous Waste Sites. National Academy Press, Washington, DC. (Principal author for Ch 4, EPA’s Priority Setting, Contributor Chs 2 &3)
Small, M.J. and M.D. Escobar. 1993. Discussion of “Bayesian decision support using environment transport-and-fate models,” by Wolpert et.al., in Case Studies in Bayesian Statistics, Gatsonis et al., eds., Springer-Verlag, New York, 271-286.
Small, M.J., 1992. Integrated assessment of environmental risk and human response. Proceedings of Risk Based Decision Making in Water Resources V. Y. Haimes and E. Stakhiv (eds), Engineering Foundation and ASCE, New York, 78-91.
Small, M.J., 1990. “Parametric Distributions,” Two sections of Historical Changes in Surface Water Acid-Base Chemistry in Response to Acidic Deposition, NAPAP State of Science/Technology Report No. 11, T.J. Sullivan, National Acid Precipitation Assessment Program, Washington, D.C., 77-81, 102-107.
Patwardhan, A. and M.J. Small. 1990. Bayesian framework for model structure uncertainty: Application to sea-level response to changing global CO2 in Risk Based Decision Making in Water Resources III, ed. Y. Haimes, Engineering Foundation and ASCE.
Rubin, E.S., M.J. Small, C.N. Bloyd, R.J. Marnicio and M. Henrion, 1990. Atmospheric Deposition Assessment Model: Applications to regional aquatic acidification in eastern North America. Impact Models to Assess Regional Acidification, Ed. J. Kamari, Kluwer Academic, Dordrecht, The Netherlands, 253-284.
Small, M.J., P.A. Labieniec and M.C. Sutton. 1990. Identification of a direct distribution model from a regionalized mechanistic model of aquatic acidification. Impact Models to Assess Regional Acidification, Ed. J. Kamari, Kluwer Academic, Dordrecht, The Netherlands, 167-181.
Milke, M.W. and M.J. Small, 1989. A Modelling approach for estimating long-term and seasonal CaC03 dissolution rates. In Water-Rock Interaction, WRI-6, ed. D.L. Miles, Balkema, Rotterdam, Netherlands, 487-490.
Small, M.J., 1989. Regional distributions of water quality derived as averages of spatial random processes. In Regional Characterization of Water Quality, ed. S. Ragone. IAHS Publ. No. 182, International Association of Hydrologic Sciences, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, England, 3-10.
Labieniec, P.A., M.J. Small and B.J. Cosby. 1989. Regional distributions of lake chemistry predicted by mechanistic and empirical lake acidification models in Regional Acidification Models: Geographic Extent and Time Development, eds. J. Kamari, D.F. Brakke, A. Jenkins, S.A. Norton, R.F. Wright. Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 185-201.
“Probability Distributions and Statistical Evaluation,” Chapter by M.J. Small and M. Henrion in UNCERTAINTY: A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis, by M.G. Morgan and M. Henrion, Cambridge University Press, 1990.
Small, M.J., M.C. Sutton and P.A. Labieniec. 1987. Modelling distributions of aquatic chemistry in regions impacted by acid deposition. Systems Analysis in Water Quality Ed. M.B. Beck, Pergamon Press, Oxford, England, 161-172.
Keeler, G.J., P.J. Samson and M.J. Small. 1984. Representativeness of precipitation data in regional-scale acid deposition modeling. Proceedings of Specialty Conference on Meteorology of Acid Deposition, Hartford, CT, Air Pollution Control Association, Pittsburgh, PA, 225-240.
Samson, P.J. and M.J. Small. 1984. Atmospheric trajectory models for diagnosing the sources of acid precipitation. Acid Precipitation, Vol. 9: Modeling of Total Acid Precipitation Impacts, Ed. J.L. Schnoor, Ann Arbor Science, Butterworth Publishers, Boston, 1-23.
Small, M.J. and P.J. Samson. 1982. Mathematical simulation of Lagrangian precipitation and associated sulfur wet deposition. Proceedings of Specialty Conference on Atmospheric Deposition, Detroit, MI, November 7-10, 1982, Air Pollution Control Association, Pittsburgh, PA., pp. 273-285.